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FA Cup · 1st Round Qualifying Replays · England

Leiston v Grays Athletic

5-0Full time

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Leiston v Grays Athletic: the model read

Leiston meet Grays Athletic in the FA Cup 1st round qualifying replays.

Leiston rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Leiston, 60% against 33%. Attacking output favors Leiston on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.7 per match.

Leiston arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Grays Athletic, D 0-0 @ Grays Athletic, L 3-4 @ Bury Town, W 3-1 v Redditch United.

Grays Athletic are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Leiston, D 0-0 v Leiston, L 1-4 @ Canvey Island, L 1-3 @ Gorleston.

Leiston hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leiston 5-0 Grays Athletic.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Leiston

DWLDW9-6-5

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • WHGrays Athletic5-0
  • DAGrays Athletic0-0
  • LABury Town3-4
  • WHRedditch United3-1
  • DAStourbridge2-2

Grays Athletic

LLLDL5-3-12

Scored 0.70 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 30%

  • LALeiston0-5
  • DHLeiston0-0
  • LACanvey Island1-4
  • LAGorleston1-3
  • LHLowestoft Town1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

LeistonrecordGrays Athletic
1
0
1 draw

Goals

5-0

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Leiston

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 5-0

Biggest win 5-0

Grays Athletic

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 0-5
  • Leiston5-0Grays Athletic
  • Grays Athletic0-0Leiston

Managers

C. Wigger

England · 48

In charge since 2020

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.