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Copa Rio · 3rd place · Brazil

Madureira v Sampaio Corrêa RJ

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Madureira v Sampaio Corrêa RJ: the model read

Madureira meet Sampaio Corrêa RJ in the Copa Rio 3rd place.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Madureira on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.

Madureira arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Boavista SC, L 0-2 @ Boavista SC, D 1-1 v Portuguesa RJ, W 1-0 @ Portuguesa RJ.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nova Iguaçu, L 0-2 @ Nova Iguaçu, W 1-0 v São Gonçalo EC RJ, D 0-0 @ São Gonçalo EC RJ.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Madureira 2-1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Madureira

DWDLD5-6-9

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • DHBoavista SC0-0
  • LABoavista SC0-2
  • DHPortuguesa RJ1-1
  • WAPortuguesa RJ1-0
  • DHBonsucesso1-1

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

WDWLW6-5-9

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • WHNova Iguaçu2-1
  • LANova Iguaçu0-2
  • WHSão Gonçalo EC RJ1-0
  • DASão Gonçalo EC RJ0-0
  • WHResende2-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

MadureirarecordSampaio Corrêa RJ
1
4
0 draws

Goals

6-10

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Madureira

Recent
WLLLL
Wins 1Goals 6-10

Biggest win 2-1

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Recent
LWWWW
Wins 4Goals 10-6

Biggest win 4-2

  • Madureira2-1Sampaio Corrêa RJ
  • Sampaio Corrêa RJ4-2Madureira
  • Madureira1-2Sampaio Corrêa RJ
  • Madureira0-1Sampaio Corrêa RJ
  • Sampaio Corrêa RJ2-1Madureira

Managers

Toninho Andrade

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Surian Felipe

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.