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Coppa Italia · Round of 16 · Italy

Bologna v Palermo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bologna v Palermo: the model read

Bologna meet Palermo in the Coppa Italia round of 16.

Palermo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1420. Recent form leans Palermo, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Palermo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.

Bologna arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Torino, L 0-1 @ Napoli, D 2-2 v Sassuolo, L 0-1 @ Atalanta.

Palermo are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Padova, D 1-1 @ Avellino, W 3-1 v Sampdoria, W 5-2 v Mantova.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Bologna 2-2 Palermo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bologna

LLDLD5-5-10

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • DHTorino1-1
  • LANapoli0-1
  • DHSassuolo2-2
  • LAAtalanta0-1
  • LHLazio0-1

Palermo

WWWDW11-5-4

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHPadova2-1
  • DAAvellino1-1
  • WHSampdoria3-1
  • WHMantova5-2
  • WAArezzo3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

BolognarecordPalermo
3
3
4 draws

Goals

12-11

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Bologna

Recent
DDWDLD
Wins 3Goals 12-11

Biggest win 3-0

Palermo

Recent
DDLDWD
Wins 3Goals 11-12

Biggest win 3-1

  • Bologna2-2Palermo
  • Palermo0-0Bologna
  • Bologna3-1Palermo
  • Palermo0-0Bologna
  • Bologna0-1Palermo
  • Palermo1-1Bologna
  • Bologna3-0Palermo
  • Bologna1-3Palermo
  • Palermo3-1Bologna
  • Bologna1-0Palermo

Managers

D. Tedesco

Italy · 40

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Fenerbahçe2025–2026
  • Belgium2023–2025
  • RB Leipzig2021–2022
  • Spartak Moscow2019–2021

F. Inzaghi

Italy · 52

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Salernitana2023–2024
  • Reggina2022–2023
  • Brescia2021–2022
  • Benevento2019–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.