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J-League Cup · Round of 64 · Japan

Nagoya Grampus v Kitakyushu

· Toyota Stadium, Toyota City

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Nagoya Grampus v Kitakyushu: the model read

Nagoya Grampus meet Kitakyushu in the J-League Cup round of 64 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 35%. Attacking output favors Nagoya Grampus on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Nagoya Grampus arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Sanfrecce Hiroshima, W 2-1 v Fagiano Okayama, L 1-3 v Gainare Tottori, W 3-1 v Gamba Osaka.

Kitakyushu are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Ehime FC, W 1-0 v Iwaki, D 1-1 v Matsumoto Yamaga, D 2-2 @ Tochigi SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nagoya Grampus

LWLWL7-3-10

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3
  • WHFagiano Okayama2-1
  • LHGainare Tottori1-3
  • WHGamba Osaka3-1
  • LAKashima1-2

Kitakyushu

LDDWL4-6-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LAEhime FC2-4
  • WHIwaki1-0
  • DHMatsumoto Yamaga1-1
  • DATochigi SC2-2
  • LHOkinawa SV1-2

Managers

Mihailo Petrovic

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Kohei Masumoto

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.