Where the market is wrong on Rops v SalPa
Rops meet SalPa in the Ykkönen group stage at Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SalPa, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors SalPa on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Rops arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v SalPa, L 1-3 @ PKKU, D 1-1 v OLS, W 2-0 v VJS.
SalPa are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 18 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Rops, W 6-4 v Tampere United, W 4-3 v JJK, W 3-1 @ KuPS Akatemia.
Rops hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rops 3-1 SalPa.
The market prices ROP at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on SalPa: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
