Where the market is wrong on SalPa v Tampere United
SalPa meet Tampere United in the Ykkönen group stage at Salon urheilupuisto, Salo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tampere United, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Tampere United on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.0 per match.
SalPa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v JJK, W 3-1 @ KuPS Akatemia, W 4-1 v OLS, L 0-2 v FC jazz.
Tampere United are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v PKKU, L 1-2 @ OLS, W 4-0 v Rops, D 1-1 v TPV.
The market prices SAL at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Tampere United: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
