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Copa Rio · Final · Brazil

Boavista SC v Nova Iguaçu

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Boavista SC v Nova Iguaçu: the model read

Boavista SC meet Nova Iguaçu in the Copa Rio final.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nova Iguaçu, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Boavista SC on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.

Boavista SC arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Madureira, W 2-0 v Madureira, W 3-0 v CFRJ / Maricá, L 0-1 @ CFRJ / Maricá.

Nova Iguaçu are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sampaio Corrêa RJ, W 2-0 v Sampaio Corrêa RJ, D 0-0 v Olaria, W 1-0 @ Olaria.

Nova Iguaçu hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Boavista SC 1-1 Nova Iguaçu.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Boavista SC

WLWWD6-5-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 30%

  • DAMadureira0-0
  • WHMadureira2-0
  • WHCFRJ / Maricá3-0
  • LACFRJ / Maricá0-1
  • WHCEAC / Araruama4-0

Nova Iguaçu

DWDWL8-5-7

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • LASampaio Corrêa RJ1-2
  • WHSampaio Corrêa RJ2-0
  • DHOlaria0-0
  • WAOlaria1-0
  • DHAmérica RJ1-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Boavista SCrecordNova Iguaçu
1
2
4 draws

Goals

6-7

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

71%

both scored

Over 2.5

29%

3+ goals

Boavista SC

Recent
DLDDWD
Wins 1Goals 6-7

Biggest win 1-0

Nova Iguaçu

Recent
DWDDLD
Wins 2Goals 7-6

Biggest win 2-1

  • Boavista SC1-1Nova Iguaçu
  • Nova Iguaçu2-1Boavista SC
  • Nova Iguaçu0-0Boavista SC
  • Nova Iguaçu1-1Boavista SC
  • Boavista SC1-0Nova Iguaçu
  • Nova Iguaçu1-1Boavista SC
  • Boavista SC1-2Nova Iguaçu

Managers

Roberto Fonseca

Brazil · 63

In charge since 2025 · 26 teams managed

  • São Bento2024–2025
  • ABC2024–2024
  • Ríver2024–2024
  • São Bento2023–2024

Vitor Carlos

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.