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Western Australia NPL · Semi-finals · Australia

Mandurah City v UWA Nedlands

0-1Full time· Securitas Protect Stadium

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Mandurah City v UWA Nedlands

Mandurah City meet UWA Nedlands in the Western Australia NPL semi-finals at Securitas Protect Stadium, undefined.

UWA Nedlands rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1535. Recent form leans UWA Nedlands, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors UWA Nedlands on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Mandurah City arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v UWA Nedlands, W 3-1 v Murdoch Melville, L 1-2 @ Floreat Athena, L 0-1 v Quinns FC.

UWA Nedlands are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Mandurah City, W 1-0 @ Joondalup City, L 0-2 v Subiaco, W 3-0 @ Murdoch Melville.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mandurah City 0-1 UWA Nedlands.

The market prices MAN at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on UWA Nedlands: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mandurah City

LLLWL9-3-8

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • LHUWA Nedlands0-1
  • WHMurdoch Melville3-1
  • LAFloreat Athena1-2
  • LHQuinns FC0-1
  • LAUWA Nedlands0-3

UWA Nedlands

WWLWW15-1-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAMandurah City1-0
  • WAJoondalup City1-0
  • LHSubiaco0-2
  • WAMurdoch Melville3-0
  • WHMandurah City3-0

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Mandurah CityrecordUWA Nedlands
3
3
1 draw

Goals

10-11

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

43%

both scored

Over 2.5

71%

3+ goals

Mandurah City

Recent
LLWLWW
Wins 3Goals 10-11

Biggest win 3-0

UWA Nedlands

Recent
WWLWLL
Wins 3Goals 11-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Mandurah City0-1UWA Nedlands
  • UWA Nedlands3-0Mandurah City
  • Mandurah City3-1UWA Nedlands
  • UWA Nedlands3-0Mandurah City
  • Mandurah City3-0UWA Nedlands
  • Mandurah City3-2UWA Nedlands
  • UWA Nedlands1-1Mandurah City

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.