Where the market is wrong on Canberra FC v Queanbeyan City
Canberra FC meet Queanbeyan City in the Capital Territory NPL semi-finals at Deakin Stadium, Canberra.
Canberra FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1822 to 1627. Recent form leans Canberra FC, 93% against 65%. Attacking output favors Canberra FC on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.0 per match.
Canberra FC arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Queanbeyan City, W 4-0 v Belconnen United, W 3-2 @ Monaro Panthers, W 5-4 v O'Connor Knights.
Queanbeyan City are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Canberra FC, W 2-0 @ Tuggeranong United, W 1-0 v O'Connor Knights, W 2-1 @ Canberra Juventus.
Canberra FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canberra FC 1-0 Queanbeyan City.
The market prices CAN at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Queanbeyan City: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
