Where the market is wrong on Elverum v Raufoss
Elverum meet Raufoss in the NM Cupen round of 64.
Elverum rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Elverum, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Elverum on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.5 per match.
Elverum arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Raufoss, L 2-4 @ Råde, D 1-1 @ Brumunddal, W 4-3 v Lillehammer.
Raufoss are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Elverum, W 2-1 v ODD Ballklubb, L 1-9 @ Kongsvinger, L 0-3 v Sandnes ULF.
Raufoss hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Elverum 0-3 Raufoss.
The market prices ELV at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Elverum: a 22.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
