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Copa Federacion · Round of 32 · Spain

San Fernando CD v Orihuela

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San Fernando CD host Orihuela in the Copa Federacion round of 32 on 8 September, a competition that offers both sides a chance to reset after difficult starts to their league campaigns. For Antonio Iriondo's side, the cup represents a break from a punishing run of results in Segunda Division RFEF Group 4, while Pato's Orihuela arrive having shown sporadic promise between setbacks in their own division.

The home side's recent record makes for grim reading. San Fernando have lost their last five matches across all competitions, scoring just one goal in that sequence. That solitary strike came in a 1-1 draw with Tamaraceite in the Tercera Division RFEF, a result that stands as their only game without defeat in their last six outings. Since then, they have conceded three without reply against both Tamaraceite and Albacete, the latter in the Copa del Rey, before narrow league defeats to Cádiz II, Juventud Torremolinos and Estepona. The pattern is clear: goals have been scarce and defensive solidity has been elusive.

Orihuela's form is more mixed but carries a hint of defiance. Their most recent result was a 2-1 win away at Real Murcia II in Segunda Division RFEF Group 3, a valuable away victory. However, that followed defeats to Cieza and FC Cartagena in friendly matches, and earlier results in Group 5 included a home win over Getafe II but losses to Las Palmas II and SS Reyes. Their competitive away record shows they are capable of finding the net on the road, yet consistency has been their main challenge.

There is no previous competitive meeting between these two clubs to draw upon, making this a first encounter in the club's histories. That absence of head-to-head context adds a layer of unpredictability to the tie, with neither side able to lean on past familiarity. Both coaches will be hoping the cup provides a platform for a response, San Fernando seeking to end a winless stretch and Orihuela aiming to build on their recent away momentum.

The Copa Federacion often rewards those who treat it with seriousness, and this fixture arrives at a moment when both teams could use a credible performance. For the home supporters, it is a chance to see their side arrest a worrying slide in front of their own crowd. For Orihuela, it is an opportunity to show that their victory at Real Murcia II was not a fleeting bright spot. With a place in the last 16 at stake, the occasion carries genuine weight for two clubs navigating early-season turbulence.

Match analysisPre-match brief

San Fernando CD v Orihuela: the model read

San Fernando CD meet Orihuela in the Copa Federacion round of 32.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orihuela, 45% against 34%. Attacking output favors Orihuela on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.7 per match.

San Fernando CD arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Tamaraceite, L 0-3 @ Tamaraceite, L 0-3 v Albacete, L 0-2 @ Cádiz II.

Orihuela are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Real Murcia II, L 0-1 v Cieza, L 0-3 @ FC Cartagena, W 2-1 v Getafe II.

San Fernando CD hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: San Fernando CD 1-0 Orihuela.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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San Fernando CD

LLLLD2-9-8

Scored 0.74 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 36.8%

  • DHTamaraceite1-1
  • LATamaraceite0-3
  • LHAlbacete0-3
  • LACádiz II0-2
  • LHJuventud Torremolinos0-1

Orihuela

LWLLW6-5-8

Scored 1.16 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WAReal Murcia II2-1
  • LHCieza0-1
  • LAFC Cartagena0-3
  • WHGetafe II2-1
  • LALas Palmas II1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

San Fernando CDrecordOrihuela
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

San Fernando CD

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

Orihuela

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • San Fernando CD1-0Orihuela
  • Orihuela1-1San Fernando CD

Managers

Antonio Iriondo

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Sanluqueño2022–2023
  • Jamshedpur2019–2020
  • Rayo Majadahonda2018–2019

Pato

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.