Where the market is wrong on PSGC Ciamis v Semen Padang
PSGC Ciamis meet Semen Padang in the Liga 2 regular season - 3 at Stadion Galuh, Ciamis.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 33%. Attacking output favors PSGC Ciamis on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
PSGC Ciamis arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Semen Padang, W 2-0 v Sumsel United, L 1-2 @ Persikad Depok FC, L 0-4 @ PSCS Cilacap.
Semen Padang are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ PSGC Ciamis, D 1-1 v PSIS Semarang, W 1-0 @ Persiraja Banda Aceh, L 0-3 @ Persija.
Semen Padang hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PSGC Ciamis 0-2 Semen Padang.
The market prices PSG at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on PSGC Ciamis: a 15.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
