New ZealandChina v New Zealand: the model read
China meet New Zealand in the Friendlies friendly international.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors New Zealand on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.8 per match.
China arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Thailand, W 2-1 @ Singapore, L 0-2 v Cameroon, W 2-0 v Curaçao.
New Zealand are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.
New Zealand hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: New Zealand 2-1 China.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
