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Taça de Portugal · Round of 128 · Portugal

Paredes v Maria da Fonte

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Paredes v Maria da Fonte: the model read

Paredes meet Maria da Fonte in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.

Paredes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1420. Recent form leans Paredes, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Paredes on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Paredes arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Varzim, W 3-1 @ Ermesinde, L 1-2 v Leça, W 1-0 @ Pacos Ferreira.

Maria da Fonte are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Brito, W 1-0 v Uniao Nogueirense, L 0-1 v Celoricense, W 1-0 @ Vinhais.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Paredes

WWLWW10-4-6

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WAVarzim1-0
  • WAErmesinde3-1
  • LHLeça1-2
  • WAPacos Ferreira1-0
  • WHGuimaraes B3-1

Maria da Fonte

LWLWL6-2-12

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • LABrito1-2
  • WHUniao Nogueirense1-0
  • LHCeloricense0-1
  • WAVinhais1-0
  • LAFafe0-2

Managers

Tarantini

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Filipe Gonça

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Brito2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.