Alpendorada v Mação: the model read
Alpendorada meet Mação in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alpendorada, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Mação on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.3 per match.
Alpendorada arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Mação, L 1-2 v Machico, L 1-3 @ Sanjoanense, D 2-2 @ Rebordosa.
Mação are patchy: 1W-0D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Alpendorada, W 5-0 v Gavionenses, L 2-3 @ Condeixa.
Alpendorada hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alpendorada 3-0 Mação.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
