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Taça de Portugal · Round of 128 · Portugal

Beira-Mar v CF Os Belenenses

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Beira-Mar v CF Os Belenenses: the model read

Beira-Mar meet CF Os Belenenses in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CF Os Belenenses, 66% against 55%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Beira-Mar arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Cinfães, D 3-3 v União Lamas, L 0-2 v Machico, D 1-1 @ Sanjoanense.

CF Os Belenenses are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Vitória de Sernache, W 2-1 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, W 5-0 v União Santarém, W 3-1 @ Louletano.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Beira-Mar

WDLDD7-8-5

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DACinfães2-2
  • DHUnião Lamas3-3
  • LHMachico0-2
  • DASanjoanense1-1
  • WATondela2-1

CF Os Belenenses

WWWWW10-5-4

Scored 1.79 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WAVitória de Sernache3-1
  • WALusitano Évora 19112-1
  • WHUnião Santarém5-0
  • WALouletano3-1
  • WHCaldas1-0

Managers

Fabeta

Portugal · 38

In charge since 2025

Jardim Brandao Goncalo

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.