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Primera División · Clausura - 6 · Uruguay

Progreso v Cerro

1-3Full time· Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo· Referee: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay

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Progreso v Cerro: the model read

Progreso meet Cerro in the Primera División clausura - 6 at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cerro, 45% against 25%. Attacking output favors Cerro on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.

Progreso arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Cerro, W 1-0 @ Albion FC, L 1-2 @ Albion FC, W 1-0 v Danubio.

Cerro are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Progreso, L 0-2 v Cerrito, W 1-0 v Racing Montevideo, D 1-1 @ Wanderers.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Progreso

LWLWL5-0-15

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 40%

  • LHCerro1-3
  • WAAlbion FC1-0
  • LAAlbion FC1-2
  • WHDanubio1-0
  • LHCA River Plate0-2

Cerro

DDWLW7-4-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • WAProgreso3-1
  • LHCerrito0-2
  • WHRacing Montevideo1-0
  • DAWanderers1-1
  • DABoston River1-1

Managers

Tabare Silva

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Alejandro Cappuccio

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.