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UEFA Youth League · League Phase - 3 · World

Porto U19 v PSV U19

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Porto U19 v PSV U19: the model read

Porto U19 meet PSV U19 in the UEFA Youth League league phase - 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1742 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Porto U19, 83% against 70%. Attacking output favors Porto U19 on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.2 per match.

Porto U19 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Rio Ave U19, W 4-0 v Famalicão U19, W 3-1 v Manchester City U19, L 0-1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

PSV U19 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Shakhtar Donetsk U19, W 3-0 v FC Volendam U19, W 3-1 @ Ajax U19, W 3-2 @ Feyenoord U19.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Porto U19

WLWWD15-3-2

Scored 2.95 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 50%

  • DHRio Ave U190-0
  • WHFamalicão U194-0
  • WHManchester City U193-1
  • LAVitoria Guimaraes U190-1
  • WAVizela U195-2

PSV U19

DWWWW13-2-5

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WHShakhtar Donetsk U191-0
  • WHFC Volendam U193-0
  • WAAjax U193-1
  • WAFeyenoord U193-2
  • DHAZ U191-1

Managers

Nuno Capucho

Portugal · 53

In charge since 2022 · 5 teams managed

  • Sporting Covilhã2020–2021
  • Mafra2019–2019
  • Varzim2017–2018
  • Rio Ave2016–2016

V. Heilmann

Netherlands · 28

In charge since 2023

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.