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8 Cup · Final · South-Africa

Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns

· Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns: the model read

Orlando Pirates meet Mamelodi Sundowns in the 8 Cup final at Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orlando Pirates, 80% against 71%. Attacking output favors Mamelodi Sundowns on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Orlando Pirates arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Marumo Gallants, W 2-0 v Durban City, W 3-1 v La Cure Waves, D 0-0 @ La Cure Waves.

Mamelodi Sundowns are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Al-Ahli Jeddah, D 1-1 @ Chippa United, W 3-0 v Siwelele, W 2-1 @ Golden Arrows.

Mamelodi Sundowns hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orlando Pirates 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Orlando Pirates

WDWWW14-4-2

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 0.45 · Clean sheets 65% · BTTS 30%

  • WAMarumo Gallants2-0
  • WHDurban City2-0
  • WHLa Cure Waves3-1
  • DALa Cure Waves0-0
  • WAKruger United4-0

Mamelodi Sundowns

WWWDW11-5-3

Scored 1.89 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHAl-Ahli Jeddah2-1
  • DAChippa United1-1
  • WHSiwelele3-0
  • WAGolden Arrows2-1
  • WHMilford FC2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Orlando PiratesrecordMamelodi Sundowns
2
3
5 draws

Goals

10-13

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Orlando Pirates

Recent
LDDDWL
Wins 2Goals 10-13

Biggest win 2-1

Mamelodi Sundowns

Recent
WDDDLW
Wins 3Goals 13-10

Biggest win 4-1

  • Orlando Pirates1-2Mamelodi Sundowns
  • Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates
  • Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates
  • Orlando Pirates1-1Mamelodi Sundowns
  • Orlando Pirates2-1Mamelodi Sundowns
  • Mamelodi Sundowns4-1Orlando Pirates
  • Mamelodi Sundowns1-2Orlando Pirates
  • Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates
  • Orlando Pirates0-0Mamelodi Sundowns
  • Orlando Pirates0-1Mamelodi Sundowns

Managers

A. Ouaddou

Morocco · 47

In charge since 2025 · 4 teams managed

  • Vita Club2024–2025
  • Mouloudia Oujda2020–2021

Miguel Cardoso

Portugal · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • ES Tunis2024–2024
  • Rio Ave2021–2021
  • AEK Athens2019–2019
  • Celta Vigo2018–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.