Fátima v Vinhais: the model read
Fátima meet Vinhais in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fátima, 50% against 0%. Attacking output favors Fátima on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.5 per match.
Fátima arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Os Marialvas, W 3-1 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 5-0 v Atlético Malveira, D 1-1 @ O Elvas.
Vinhais are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Chaves II, L 0-3 @ Tirsense, L 0-1 v Maria da Fonte, L 1-3 @ Ançã.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
