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Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 17 · Uruguay

La Luz v Sportivo Huracan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on La Luz v Sportivo Huracan

La Luz meet Sportivo Huracan in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 17.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sportivo Huracan, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sportivo Huracan on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

La Luz arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sportivo Huracan, D 0-0 @ Uruguay Montevideo, L 0-2 v Oriental, L 1-2 @ Colón.

Sportivo Huracan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ La Luz, W 2-1 v Cerrito, D 0-0 @ Atenas, W 3-2 v Paysandu.

Sportivo Huracan hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: La Luz 1-3 Sportivo Huracan.

The market prices LA at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Sportivo Huracan: a 11.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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La Luz

DLLDL5-7-8

Scored 0.75 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 30%

  • LHSportivo Huracan1-3
  • DAUruguay Montevideo0-0
  • LHOriental0-2
  • LAColón1-2
  • DAFenix0-0

Sportivo Huracan

LWDWW8-5-7

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WALa Luz3-1
  • WHCerrito2-1
  • DAAtenas0-0
  • WHPaysandu3-2
  • LACA River Plate0-2

Head-to-head

3 meetings

La LuzrecordSportivo Huracan
0
1
2 draws

Goals

4-6

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

La Luz

Recent
LDD
Wins 0Goals 4-6

Sportivo Huracan

Recent
WDD
Wins 1Goals 6-4

Biggest win 3-1

  • La Luz1-3Sportivo Huracan
  • Sportivo Huracan1-1La Luz
  • La Luz2-2Sportivo Huracan

Managers

Carlos Aires

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.