Where the market is wrong on Paraguari AC v Guairena FC
Paraguari AC meet Guairena FC in the Division Intermedia regular season - 23.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Paraguari AC on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Paraguari AC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Guairena FC, W 3-2 @ Sportivo Carapeguá, W 1-0 v Resistencia, L 2-3 @ 12 de Junio VH.
Guairena FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Paraguari AC, L 1-2 @ Resistencia, L 0-1 v SOL DE America, W 3-2 v 12 de Octubre.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paraguari AC 3-1 Guairena FC.
The market prices PAR at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Guairena FC: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
