Where the market is wrong on Sportivo Carapeguá v Paraguari AC
Sportivo Carapeguá meet Paraguari AC in the Division Intermedia regular season - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sportivo Carapeguá on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Sportivo Carapeguá arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Paraguari AC, W 1-0 @ 12 de Junio VH, L 1-3 v Encarnación, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Santani.
Paraguari AC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Sportivo Carapeguá, W 1-0 v Resistencia, L 2-3 @ 12 de Junio VH, L 0-2 v Sportivo Luqueno.
The market prices SPO at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Paraguari AC: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
