Where the market is wrong on Matagalpa v UNAN Managua
Matagalpa meet UNAN Managua in the Primera Division apertura - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 43%. Attacking output favors Matagalpa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Matagalpa arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v UNAN Managua, L 0-1 v Rancho Santana, W 1-0 @ Jalapa, W 1-0 v San Marcos.
UNAN Managua are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Matagalpa, L 0-2 v Managua, W 1-0 @ Walter Ferretti, W 2-1 v Jalapa.
Matagalpa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Matagalpa 1-0 UNAN Managua.
The market prices MAT at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on UNAN Managua: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
