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FA Cup · 1st Round Qualifying · England

Leamington v Ilkeston Town

3-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Leamington v Ilkeston Town: the model read

Leamington meet Ilkeston Town in the FA Cup 1st round qualifying.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Leamington on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Leamington arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Ilkeston Town, W 2-0 @ Stourbridge, D 1-1 v Worcester City, L 0-3 @ Bury Town.

Ilkeston Town are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Leamington, L 0-2 v Quorn, L 0-7 @ Bury, D 1-1 @ Ashton United.

Leamington hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leamington 3-1 Ilkeston Town.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Leamington

LLDWW6-4-10

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 80%

  • WHIlkeston Town3-1
  • WAStourbridge2-0
  • DHWorcester City1-1
  • LABury Town0-3
  • LHKettering Town0-1

Ilkeston Town

LDLLL7-4-9

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • LALeamington1-3
  • LHQuorn0-2
  • LABury0-7
  • DAAshton United1-1
  • LHCleethorpes Town0-3

Head-to-head

1 meeting

LeamingtonrecordIlkeston Town
1
0
0 draws

Goals

3-1

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Leamington

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

Ilkeston Town

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3
  • Leamington3-1Ilkeston Town

Managers

P. Holleran

England

In charge since 2009

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.