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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 1 · World

Sturm Graz v Rennes

· Merkur-Arena, Graz

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sturm Graz v Rennes: the model read

Sturm Graz meet Rennes in the UEFA Europa League league stage - 1 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sturm Graz, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Sturm Graz on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.

Sturm Graz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Rapid Vienna, D 1-1 v Austria Lustenau, W 1-0 v SCR Altach, L 0-1 v Fenerbahçe.

Rennes are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Le Mans, D 2-2 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Sunderland, L 2-4 v Brentford.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sturm Graz

WLWDL11-5-4

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LARapid Vienna1-3
  • DHAustria Lustenau1-1
  • WHSCR Altach1-0
  • LHFenerbahçe0-1
  • WATSV Hartberg2-0

Rennes

LLLDW10-3-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • WHLe Mans3-2
  • DHParis Saint Germain2-2
  • LASunderland1-2
  • LHBrentford2-4
  • LHBrentford U211-2

Managers

F. Ingolitsch

Austria · 33

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Liefering2022–2023
  • Salzburg U192022–2023
  • Red Bull Akademie U182021–2022

F. Haise

France · 54

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Lens2020–2024
  • Lens II2017–2020
  • Lorient2016–2016
  • Lorient II2013–2015

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.