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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2 · World

Benfica v Celtic

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Benfica v Celtic: the model read

Benfica meet Celtic in the UEFA Europa League league stage - 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 68%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.0 per match.

Benfica arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ FC Porto, W 2-0 @ AC Milan, W 3-1 v GIL Vicente, W 4-0 @ Moreirense.

Celtic are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rangers, L 1-3 v Ferencvarosi TC, L 0-3 @ Rangers, W 1-0 @ ST Johnstone.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Benfica

WWWWL13-4-3

Scored 2.90 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LAFC Porto1-3
  • WAAC Milan2-0
  • WHGIL Vicente3-1
  • WAMoreirense4-0
  • WAMaritimo3-0

Celtic

WWLLL12-3-5

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LHRangers0-1
  • LHFerencvarosi TC1-3
  • LARangers0-3
  • WAST Johnstone1-0
  • WAST Mirren2-1

Managers

Marco Silva

Portugal · 48

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Everton2018–2019
  • Watford2017–2018
  • Hull City2017–2017
  • Olympiakos2015–2016

Martin O'Neill

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.