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FA Cup · Group Stage - 5 · Oman

Dhofar v Oman Club

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Dhofar v Oman Club

Dhofar meet Oman Club in the FA Cup group stage - 5.

Oman Club rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1443. Recent form leans Oman Club, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Oman Club on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Dhofar arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 5-5 @ Smail, W 2-0 v Fanja, D 0-0 @ Sohar, L 1-2 v Al Nasr.

Oman Club are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dhofar, L 1-2 v Sur, L 0-2 v Al-Shabab, W 1-0 @ Al Musannah.

The market prices DHO at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Dhofar

LLDWD6-4-10

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • DASmail5-5
  • WHFanja2-0
  • DASohar0-0
  • LHAl Nasr1-2
  • LAOman Club0-2

Oman Club

WWLLW10-4-6

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • WADhofar1-0
  • LHSur1-2
  • LHAl-Shabab0-2
  • WAAl Musannah1-0
  • WHDhofar2-0

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.