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Primera Premier · Regular Season - 5 · Mexico

Montañeses v Inter Playa del Carmen

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Montañeses v Inter Playa del Carmen

Montañeses meet Inter Playa del Carmen in the Primera Premier regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Inter Playa del Carmen, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Montañeses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Montañeses arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Inter Playa del Carmen, L 1-2 @ Celaya, L 1-3 v Racing de Veracruz, D 2-2 @ Jaguares de Chiapas.

Inter Playa del Carmen are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Montañeses, D 0-0 v Chapulineros, L 0-2 @ Tapachula, L 0-4 v Pioneros de Cancún.

Inter Playa del Carmen hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Montañeses 3-2 Inter Playa del Carmen.

The market prices MON at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Inter Playa del Carmen: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Montañeses

DDLLW7-5-8

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHInter Playa del Carmen3-2
  • LACelaya1-2
  • LHRacing de Veracruz1-3
  • DAJaguares de Chiapas2-2
  • DHDeportiva Venados1-1

Inter Playa del Carmen

LLLDL8-7-5

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 30%

  • LAMontañeses2-3
  • DHChapulineros0-0
  • LATapachula0-2
  • LHPioneros de Cancún0-4
  • LAReal Apodaca1-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MontañesesrecordInter Playa del Carmen
1
4
5 draws

Goals

13-19

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Montañeses

Recent
WLDDDD
Wins 1Goals 13-19

Biggest win 3-2

Inter Playa del Carmen

Recent
LWDDDD
Wins 4Goals 19-13

Biggest win 4-1

  • Montañeses3-2Inter Playa del Carmen
  • Montañeses0-1Inter Playa del Carmen
  • Inter Playa del Carmen2-2Montañeses
  • Montañeses1-1Inter Playa del Carmen
  • Inter Playa del Carmen1-1Montañeses
  • Inter Playa del Carmen1-1Montañeses
  • Montañeses0-2Inter Playa del Carmen
  • Inter Playa del Carmen3-2Montañeses
  • Montañeses2-2Inter Playa del Carmen
  • Inter Playa del Carmen4-1Montañeses

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.