Leagues Cup · Semi-finals · World

Club America v Monterrey

2-2Full timeSep 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET· Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson· Referee: Mario Escobar, Guatemala

Match analysisPre-match brief

Club America v Monterrey: the model read

Club America meet Monterrey in the Leagues Cup semi-finals at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson.

Club America rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1512. Recent form leans Club America, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Club America on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.

Club America arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Monterrey, W 2-0 v Puebla, W 2-0 v Columbus Crew, W 2-1 @ FC Juarez.

Monterrey are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Club America, L 1-3 v Atletico San Luis, W 2-1 v Chicago Fire, L 0-2 @ Leon.

Club America hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club America 2-2 Monterrey.

The market prices CLU at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Club America

WWWWD11-6-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

DHMonterrey2-2
WHPuebla2-0
WHColumbus Crew2-0
WAFC Juarez2-1
WHAtletico San Luis3-0

Monterrey

WLWLD8-4-8

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 80%

DAClub America2-2
LHAtletico San Luis1-3
WHChicago Fire2-1
LALeon0-2
WHFC Juarez6-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Club AmericarecordMonterrey

4 draws

Goals

13-12

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Club America

Recent

DWWLDL

Wins 4Goals 13-12

Biggest win 1-0

Monterrey

Recent

DLLWDW

Wins 2Goals 12-13

Biggest win 2-0

Club America2-2Monterrey
Leagues CupDignity Health Sports Park
9/2/26, 11:30 PM ET
Club America1-0Monterrey
Liga MXEstadio Ciudad de los Deportes
2/7/26, 10:10 PM ET
Club America2-1Monterrey
Liga MXEstadio Ciudad de los Deportes
11/29/25, 6:00 PM ET
Monterrey2-0Club America
Liga MXEstadio BBVA Bancomer
11/26/25, 10:05 PM ET
Monterrey2-2Club America
Liga MXEstadio BBVA Bancomer
9/20/25, 11:05 PM ET
Monterrey1-0Club America
Liga MXEstadio BBVA
4/16/25, 9:00 PM ET
Monterrey1-1Club America
Liga MXEstadio BBVA
12/15/24, 8:00 PM ET
Club America2-1Monterrey
Liga MXEstadio Cuauhtémoc
12/12/24, 9:00 PM ET
Club America2-1Monterrey
Liga MXEstadio Ciudad de los Deportes
10/27/24, 10:05 PM ET
Club America1-1Monterrey
Liga MXEstadio Azteca
2/3/24, 10:10 PM ET

Managers

Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

Oviedo2026–2026

M. Almeyda

Argentina · 52

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

Sevilla2025–2026
AEK Athens2022–2025
SJ Earthquakes2019–2022
Guadalajara2015–2018

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded →

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

The match report

Match report

Club America and Monterrey drew 2-2 at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson.

How it unfolded: 49' D. Rossi (MON), 57' R. Juarez (CLU), 63' A. Cervantes (CLU), 69' L. Ocampos (MON pen), 121' Raphael Veiga (CLU pen), 121' L. Orellano (MON pen), 122' B. Rodriguez (CLU pen), 122' D. Rossi (MON pen), 123' I. Reyes (CLU pen), 123' V. Guzman (MON pen), 124' J. Corona (MON pen), 125' E. Sanchez (CLU pen), 125' H. Cuypers (MON pen).

The numbers, CLU to MON: possession 49% to 51%; shots on target 5 to 4; total shots 17 to 14; corners 14 to 2.

Top match ratings: Erick Sánchez (CLU) at 7.7, Diego Rossi (MON) at 8.3.

Discipline: 2 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: CLU 2, MON 2.

The model leaned Club America at 44% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 28%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Club America 2-1 Monterrey; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 1.6-point edge on the draw landed.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Match data

How it unfolded: 49' D. Rossi (MON), 57' R. Juarez (CLU), 63' A. Cervantes (CLU), 69' L. Ocampos (MON pen), 121' Raphael Veiga (CLU pen), 121' L. Orellano (MON pen), 122' B. Rodriguez (CLU pen), 122' D. Rossi (MON pen), 123' I. Reyes (CLU pen), 123' V. Guzman (MON pen), 124' J. Corona (MON pen), 125' E. Sanchez (CLU pen), 125' H. Cuypers (MON pen).
The numbers, CLU to MON: possession 49% to 51%; shots on target 5 to 4; total shots 17 to 14; corners 14 to 2.
Top match ratings: Erick Sánchez (CLU) at 7.7, Diego Rossi (MON) at 8.3.
Discipline: 2 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: CLU 2, MON 2.

How the model graded

The model leaned Club America at 44% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 28%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Club America 2-1 Monterrey; the match finished 2-2.

Ledger entry: the published 1.6-point edge on the draw landed.

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded →

Club America v Monterrey

Club America v Monterrey: the model read

Your call

Club America

Monterrey

Export artefact

Export artefact

Export artefact

Momentum

Kickoff preview