Cerrito v Deportivo Maldonado: the model read
Cerrito meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Copa Uruguay group stage - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportivo Maldonado, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Maldonado on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Cerrito arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 1-2 @ Sportivo Huracan, W 3-0 v Uruguay Montevideo, D 1-1 v Oriental.
Deportivo Maldonado are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Cerrito, L 0-2 @ Juventud, D 0-0 v Penarol, W 2-0 @ Progreso.
Deportivo Maldonado hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerrito 0-2 Deportivo Maldonado.
The market broadly agrees with the model here, 27% implied on CER against our 27%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
