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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1 · World

Fenerbahçe v AS Roma

· Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul

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Fenerbahçe v AS Roma: the model read

Fenerbahçe meet AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League league stage - 1 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul.

The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fenerbahçe, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Fenerbahçe at 60%; double chance reads Fenerbahçe or draw 71%, AS Roma or draw 57%.

Fenerbahçe arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Samsunspor, W 2-1 @ Lyon, W 4-2 v Konyaspor, D 1-1 v Lyon.

AS Roma are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fenerbahçe

LDWWW13-4-3

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WASamsunspor2-0
  • WALyon2-1
  • WHKonyaspor4-2
  • DHLyon1-1
  • LAGençlerbirliği S.K.1-2

AS Roma

WLDWW10-4-6

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALecce4-0
  • WHFiorentina4-0
  • DABorussia Dortmund2-2
  • LABrighton0-3
  • WANewport County4-1

Managers

Ismail Kartal

Head coach

In charge since 2026

G. Gasperini

Italy · 67

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Genoa2013–2016
  • Palermo2013–2013
  • Palermo2012–2013
  • Inter Milan2011–2011

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma — UEFA Champions League forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister