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FIFA Intercontinental Cup · Quarter-finals · World

Mamelodi Sundowns v Al-Ahli Jeddah

· Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mamelodi Sundowns v Al-Ahli Jeddah: the model read

Mamelodi Sundowns meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the FIFA Intercontinental Cup quarter-finals at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria.

The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 65%. Attacking output favors Mamelodi Sundowns on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.

Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Golden Arrows, W 5-2 v Amazulu, L 0-1 v Golden Arrows, W 2-0 v Marumo Gallants.

Al-Ahli Jeddah are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 1-3 @ Al Kholood, W 1-0 v Auckland, W 4-0 v Abha.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mamelodi Sundowns

DWLWW10-6-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WAGolden Arrows3-2
  • WHAmazulu5-2
  • LHGolden Arrows0-1
  • WHMarumo Gallants2-0
  • DAKaizer Chiefs1-1

Al-Ahli Jeddah

WWWLL12-2-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAAl-Hilal Saudi FC0-3
  • LAAl Kholood1-3
  • WHAuckland1-0
  • WHAbha4-0
  • WAAl Anwar2-1

Managers

Miguel Cardoso

Portugal · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • ES Tunis2024–2024
  • Rio Ave2021–2021
  • AEK Athens2019–2019
  • Celta Vigo2018–2019

M. Jaissle

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 3 teams managed

  • Red Bull Salzburg2021–2023
  • FC Liefering2021–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.