Cup · Regions Path - Quarter-finals · Russia

Chertanovo Moscow v FK Neftekhimik

1-1Full timeSep 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Match analysisPre-match brief

Chertanovo Moscow v FK Neftekhimik: the model read

Chertanovo Moscow meet FK Neftekhimik in the Cup regions path - quarter-finals.

Chertanovo Moscow rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1454. Recent form leans Chertanovo Moscow, 73% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chertanovo Moscow on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.9 per match.

Chertanovo Moscow arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg, D 1-1 v FK Neftekhimik, W 2-0 v Cherepovets, D 1-1 @ Spartak Moscow 2.

FK Neftekhimik are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spartak Kostroma, D 1-1 @ Chertanovo Moscow, W 2-0 @ Enisey, L 0-1 v FC UFA.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Chertanovo Moscow

WDWDW12-5-3

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

WADinamo St. Petersburg2-1
DHFK Neftekhimik1-1
WHCherepovets2-0
DASpartak Moscow 21-1
WAKDV4-2

FK Neftekhimik

WLWDL6-5-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

LASpartak Kostroma0-1
DAChertanovo Moscow1-1
WAEnisey2-0
LHFC UFA0-1
WARotor Volgograd1-0

Managers

S. Chikishev

Russia · 64

In charge since 2022 · 5 teams managed

Krasava Odintsovo2021–2021
Dinamo Moskva U192016–2016
Dinamo Moskva II2016–2017
Dinamo Moscow2016–2016

Robert Evdokimov

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

The match report

Match report

Chertanovo Moscow and FK Neftekhimik drew 1-1.

How it unfolded: 24' ramil gainullin (CHE), 34' Islam Mashukov (FK ), 90' dmitriy kondrashov (CHE pen), 90' Artem Kotik (FK pen), 90' Ivan Pyatkin (FK pen), 90' ivan polyakov (CHE pen), 90' George Safronov (CHE pen), 90' Nikita Vasiljev (FK pen), 90' daniil korunov (CHE pen).

The numbers, CHE to FK : possession 45% to 55%; shots on target 1 to 7; total shots 9 to 13; corners 4 to 5.

Discipline: 4 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: CHE 4, FK 5.

The model leaned Chertanovo Moscow at 51% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 28%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Chertanovo Moscow 2-0 FK Neftekhimik; the match finished 1-1.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Match data

How it unfolded: 24' ramil gainullin (CHE), 34' Islam Mashukov (FK ), 90' dmitriy kondrashov (CHE pen), 90' Artem Kotik (FK pen), 90' Ivan Pyatkin (FK pen), 90' ivan polyakov (CHE pen), 90' George Safronov (CHE pen), 90' Nikita Vasiljev (FK pen), 90' daniil korunov (CHE pen).
The numbers, CHE to FK : possession 45% to 55%; shots on target 1 to 7; total shots 9 to 13; corners 4 to 5.
Discipline: 4 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: CHE 4, FK 5.

How the model graded

The model leaned Chertanovo Moscow at 51% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 28%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Chertanovo Moscow 2-0 FK Neftekhimik; the match finished 1-1.

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Chertanovo Moscow v FK Neftekhimik

Chertanovo Moscow v FK Neftekhimik: the model read

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Chertanovo Moscow

FK Neftekhimik

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