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League Cup · Round of 32 · England

Manchester United v Brighton

· Old Trafford, Manchester

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Manchester United v Brighton: the model read

Manchester United meet Brighton in the League Cup round of 32 at Old Trafford, Manchester.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Brighton on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.

Manchester United arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Ipswich, L 0-2 @ Hull City, L 2-4 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Leeds.

Brighton are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Chelsea, W 4-0 v Tromso, W 4-0 v Aston Villa, D 0-0 @ Tromso.

Brighton hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brighton 0-3 Manchester United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Manchester United

DDLLW11-4-5

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • WHIpswich5-2
  • LAHull City0-2
  • LHAC Milan2-4
  • DHLeeds1-1
  • DAParis Saint Germain1-1

Brighton

WDWWL12-2-5

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAChelsea3-4
  • WHTromso4-0
  • WHAston Villa4-0
  • DATromso0-0
  • WHBologna1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Manchester UnitedrecordBrighton
3
6
1 draw

Goals

14-15

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Manchester United

Recent
WLWLLW
Wins 3Goals 14-15

Biggest win 3-0

Brighton

Recent
LWLWWL
Wins 6Goals 15-14

Biggest win 3-1

  • Brighton0-3Manchester United
  • Manchester United1-2Brighton
  • Manchester United4-2Brighton
  • Manchester United1-3Brighton
  • Brighton2-1Manchester United
  • Brighton0-2Manchester United
  • Manchester United1-3Brighton
  • Brighton1-0Manchester United
  • Brighton0-0Manchester United
  • Manchester United1-2Brighton

Managers

Michael Carrick

Head coach

In charge since 2025

F. Hürzeler

Germany · 32

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • St. Pauli2022–2024
  • Pipinsried2016–2020

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.