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League Cup · Round of 32 · England

Coventry v Aston Villa

· Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Coventry v Aston Villa: the model read

Coventry meet Aston Villa in the League Cup round of 32 at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry.

Coventry rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1489. Recent form leans Coventry, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Coventry on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Coventry arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Hull City, W 4-2 @ Plymouth, L 0-3 @ Arsenal, W 2-0 v Monaco.

Aston Villa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Coventry

WWLWL13-4-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • LHHull City0-1
  • WAPlymouth4-2
  • LAArsenal0-3
  • WHMonaco2-0
  • WHEspanyol3-1

Aston Villa

LLLLL8-2-10

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHArsenal0-1
  • LABrighton0-4
  • LABorussia Mönchengladbach1-2
  • LAParis Saint Germain1-2
  • LABayern München1-2

Managers

F. Lampard

England · 47

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Chelsea2023–2023
  • Everton2022–2023
  • Chelsea2019–2021
  • Derby County2018–2019

Unai Emery

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 4 teams managed

  • Villarreal2020–2022
  • Arsenal2018–2019
  • Paris Saint Germain2016–2018

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.