Where the market is wrong on Liverpool Montevideo v Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo meet Boston River in the Primera División clausura - 5 at Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Liverpool Montevideo, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Liverpool Montevideo on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cerro Largo, W 2-0 @ Fenix, W 4-0 v Cerro, W 4-0 @ Defensor Sporting.
Boston River are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cerro, W 3-2 @ Albion FC, D 0-0 v Danubio, W 2-1 @ Club Nacional.
Liverpool Montevideo hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boston River 0-1 Liverpool Montevideo.
The market prices LIV at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Boston River: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
