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Cup · Greek Cup - 4 · Greece

PAOK v AEK Athens FC

· Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

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Match analysisPre-match brief

PAOK v AEK Athens FC: the model read

PAOK meet AEK Athens FC in the Cup greek cup - 4 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AEK Athens FC, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors AEK Athens FC on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.

PAOK arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Panetolikos, W 1-0 @ Atromitos, W 2-0 v Aris Thessalonikis, L 1-3 @ Panathinaikos.

AEK Athens FC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Volos NFC, W 8-1 v Panserraikos, D 1-1 @ Asteras Tripolis, W 1-0 v Lask Linz.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PAOK 1-1 AEK Athens FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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PAOK

DLWWW10-5-5

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WAPanetolikos3-1
  • WAAtromitos1-0
  • WHAris Thessalonikis2-0
  • LAPanathinaikos1-3
  • DHOFI0-0

AEK Athens FC

WWDWW12-7-1

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 55%

  • WAVolos NFC2-1
  • WHPanserraikos8-1
  • DAAsteras Tripolis1-1
  • WHLask Linz1-0
  • WHAris Thessalonikis5-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PAOKrecordAEK Athens FC
3
3
4 draws

Goals

10-11

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

PAOK

Recent
DLDWWW
Wins 3Goals 10-11

Biggest win 2-0

AEK Athens FC

Recent
DWDLLL
Wins 3Goals 11-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • PAOK1-1AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC3-0PAOK
  • PAOK0-0AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC0-2PAOK
  • PAOK1-0AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC2-3PAOK
  • PAOK1-2AEK Athens FC
  • PAOK1-1AEK Athens FC
  • AEK Athens FC1-0PAOK
  • AEK Athens FC1-1PAOK

Managers

A. Lisci

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Osasuna2025–2026
  • Mirandes2023–2025
  • Levante2021–2022
  • Levante II2021–2021

M. Nikolić

Serbia · 46

In charge since 2025 · 9 teams managed

  • Shabab Al Ahli2023–2024
  • Lokomotiv Moscow2020–2021
  • Fehérvár2017–2019
  • Partizan2016–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.