Where the market is wrong on Larisa v Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa meet Olympiakos Piraeus in the Cup greek cup - 1 at AEL FC Arena, Larissa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Olympiakos Piraeus, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Larisa on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Larisa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Kallithea, W 4-0 @ Trikala, L 2-3 @ Kifisia, W 2-1 v Atromitos.
Olympiakos Piraeus are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Asteras Tripolis, W 1-0 v Atromitos, L 1-2 @ NEC Nijmegen, D 0-0 v NEC Nijmegen.
Olympiakos Piraeus hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 Larisa.
The market prices LAR at 8% implied. Our number sits apart on Larisa: a 21.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
