Where the market is wrong on ÅIFK v Ilves II
ÅIFK meet Ilves II in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b at Urheilupuiston Ylakentta, Turku.
ÅIFK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1569. Recent form leans ÅIFK, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors Ilves II on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans ÅIFK at 52%; double chance reads ÅIFK or draw 65%, Ilves II or draw 62%.
ÅIFK arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ilves II, W 2-1 @ P-Iirot, L 2-3 v EPS, W 2-1 @ Musa.
Ilves II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ ÅIFK, L 2-3 @ GrIFK, W 4-0 v NJS, L 1-3 @ HJS Akatemia.
ÅIFK hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ÅIFK 1-0 Ilves II.
The market prices ÅIF at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Ilves II: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
