Where the market is wrong on Drenica Skënderaj v Ballkani
Drenica Skënderaj meet Ballkani in the Superliga regular season - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Drenica Skënderaj, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ballkani on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Drenica Skënderaj at 53%; double chance reads Drenica Skënderaj or draw 67%, Ballkani or draw 63%.
Drenica Skënderaj arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Ballkani, D 1-1 @ Malisheva, D 0-0 v Dukagjini, W 2-1 @ Prishtina.
Ballkani are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Drenica Skënderaj, W 2-1 v Vushtrria, L 2-4 @ Prishtina, W 3-2 v Bohemians.
Ballkani hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Drenica Skënderaj 0-2 Ballkani.
The market prices DRE at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Drenica Skënderaj: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
