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CONMEBOL Libertadores · Quarter-finals · World

Flamengo v Independiente del Valle

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Flamengo v Independiente del Valle: the model read

Flamengo meet Independiente del Valle in the CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter-finals.

Independiente del Valle rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1822 to 1661. Recent form leans Independiente del Valle, 93% against 73%. Attacking output favors Independiente del Valle on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.9 per match.

Flamengo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Botafogo, L 1-2 @ Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 5-1 @ Mirassol.

Independiente del Valle are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Universidad Catolica, W 3-1 v Deportes Tolima, W 3-2 @ Leones del Norte, W 1-0 @ Deportes Tolima.

Flamengo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Flamengo 1-0 Independiente del Valle.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Flamengo

DWWLW12-5-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBotafogo3-0
  • LACruzeiro1-2
  • WHCruzeiro2-1
  • WAMirassol5-1
  • DACruzeiro1-1

Independiente del Valle

WWWWD18-1-1

Scored 2.75 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 50%

  • DHUniversidad Catolica2-2
  • WHDeportes Tolima3-1
  • WALeones del Norte3-2
  • WADeportes Tolima1-0
  • WHDelfin SC3-2

Head-to-head

6 meetings

FlamengorecordIndependiente del Valle
3
2
1 draw

Goals

10-8

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

17%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Flamengo

Recent
WLWLWD
Wins 3Goals 10-8

Biggest win 4-0

Independiente del Valle

Recent
LWLWLD
Wins 2Goals 8-10

Biggest win 5-0

  • Flamengo1-0Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle1-0Flamengo
  • Flamengo4-0Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle5-0Flamengo
  • Flamengo3-0Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle2-2Flamengo

Managers

Leonardo Jardim

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Joaquin Papa

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.