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Copa Paulista · Round of 16 · Brazil

Primavera SP v São Caetano

7-0Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Primavera SP v São Caetano: the model read

Primavera SP meet São Caetano in the Copa Paulista round of 16.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Primavera SP on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Primavera SP arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 15 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Noroeste, D 2-2 v Noroeste, W 7-0 v São Caetano, W 5-0 @ São Caetano.

São Caetano are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 0 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Primavera SP, L 0-5 v Primavera SP, D 0-0 @ São José EC, L 0-1 v Santo André.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Primavera SP

LWWDD8-5-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DANoroeste0-0
  • DHNoroeste2-2
  • WHSão Caetano7-0
  • WASão Caetano5-0
  • LHPaulista1-2

São Caetano

LLDLL7-4-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LAPrimavera SP0-7
  • LHPrimavera SP0-5
  • DASão José EC0-0
  • LHSanto André0-1
  • LAEC São Bernardo0-2

Managers

Fernando Marchiori

Brazil · 46

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Santo André2023–2024
  • Sampaio Corrêa2023–2023
  • Náutico2023–2023
  • ABC2022–2023

Márcio Ribeiro

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 4 teams managed

  • Bandeirante SP2021–2021
  • Linense2020–2020
  • Anápolis2020–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.