Where the market is wrong on Thitsar Arman v Hantharwady United
Thitsar Arman meet Hantharwady United in the National League regular season - 2 at Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Thitsar Arman on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Thitsar Arman arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Hantharwady United, D 2-2 v Myawady, W 5-0 @ Yarmanya United, D 2-2 v Dagon.
Hantharwady United are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Thitsar Arman, L 0-2 @ Dagon, L 0-1 @ Shan United, D 0-0 v Rakhine United.
The market prices THI at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output