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Paraense A3 · Regular Season - 5 · Brazil

Tesla v Pinheirense

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Tesla v Pinheirense

Tesla meet Pinheirense in the Paraense A3 regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1469, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pinheirense, 50% against 32%. Attacking output favors Tesla on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Tesla arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Pinheirense, L 0-1 v Paraense SC, D 1-1 @ Pinheirense, L 0-7 @ Atletico Paraense.

Pinheirense are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Tesla, W 1-0 v Paraense SC, D 1-1 v Tesla, D 0-0 @ Paraense SC.

Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Tesla 2-2 Pinheirense.

The market prices TES at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Pinheirense: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tesla

LLDLD3-3-8

Scored 1.43 · Conceded 2.43 · Clean sheets 7.1% · BTTS 64.3%

  • DHPinheirense2-2
  • LHParaense SC0-1
  • DAPinheirense1-1
  • LAAtletico Paraense0-7
  • LHAtletico Paraense1-5

Pinheirense

LDDWD3-8-3

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 28.6% · BTTS 64.3%

  • DATesla2-2
  • WHParaense SC1-0
  • DHTesla1-1
  • DAParaense SC0-0
  • LAParagominas1-3

Head-to-head

2 meetings

TeslarecordPinheirense
0
0
2 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Tesla

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 3-3

Pinheirense

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 3-3
  • Tesla2-2Pinheirense
  • Pinheirense1-1Tesla

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.