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Copa Paulista · Round of 16 · Brazil

São Caetano v Primavera SP

0-5Full time· Estadio Anacleto Campanella, Indaiatuba

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Match analysisPre-match brief

São Caetano v Primavera SP: the model read

São Caetano meet Primavera SP in the Copa Paulista round of 16 at Estadio Anacleto Campanella, Indaiatuba.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Primavera SP on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

São Caetano arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 0 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Primavera SP, L 0-5 v Primavera SP, D 0-0 @ São José EC, L 0-1 v Santo André.

Primavera SP are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 15 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Noroeste, D 2-2 v Noroeste, W 7-0 v São Caetano, W 5-0 @ São Caetano.

Primavera SP hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Primavera SP 7-0 São Caetano.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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São Caetano

LLDLL7-4-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LAPrimavera SP0-7
  • LHPrimavera SP0-5
  • DASão José EC0-0
  • LHSanto André0-1
  • LAEC São Bernardo0-2

Primavera SP

LWWDD8-5-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DANoroeste0-0
  • DHNoroeste2-2
  • WHSão Caetano7-0
  • WASão Caetano5-0
  • LHPaulista1-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

São CaetanorecordPrimavera SP
1
3
0 draws

Goals

3-15

for each

Avg goals

4.5

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

São Caetano

Recent
LLLW
Wins 1Goals 3-15

Biggest win 3-2

Primavera SP

Recent
WWWL
Wins 3Goals 15-3

Biggest win 7-0

  • Primavera SP7-0São Caetano
  • São Caetano0-5Primavera SP
  • São Caetano0-1Primavera SP
  • Primavera SP2-3São Caetano

Managers

Márcio Ribeiro

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 4 teams managed

  • Bandeirante SP2021–2021
  • Linense2020–2020
  • Anápolis2020–2020

Fernando Marchiori

Brazil · 46

In charge since 2024 · 10 teams managed

  • Santo André2023–2024
  • Sampaio Corrêa2023–2023
  • Náutico2023–2023
  • ABC2022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.