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Premier League · Regular Season - 1 · Uganda

Police v Mbarara City

1-0Full time· Kiira Road Police Arena

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Police v Mbarara City: the model read

Police meet Mbarara City in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Kiira Road Police Arena, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Police, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Police on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.

Police arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Blacks Power, W 1-0 v Mbarara City, D 2-2 @ Kitara, D 1-1 v Entebbe UPPC.

Mbarara City are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Police, L 1-4 @ KCCA, W 2-0 v Buhimba Saints, L 1-3 v SC Villa.

Police hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Police 1-0 Mbarara City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Police

DDDWL7-5-8

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LABlacks Power0-1
  • WHMbarara City1-0
  • DAKitara2-2
  • DHEntebbe UPPC1-1
  • DHVipers0-0

Mbarara City

WLWLL4-5-11

Scored 0.75 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LAPolice0-1
  • LAKCCA1-4
  • WHBuhimba Saints2-0
  • LHSC Villa1-3
  • WALugazi1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PolicerecordMbarara City
4
3
3 draws

Goals

9-8

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Police

Recent
WWDWDL
Wins 4Goals 9-8

Biggest win 2-0

Mbarara City

Recent
LLDLDW
Wins 3Goals 8-9

Biggest win 3-0

  • Police1-0Mbarara City
  • Mbarara City1-2Police
  • Police1-1Mbarara City
  • Police2-0Mbarara City
  • Mbarara City0-0Police
  • Mbarara City3-0Police
  • Police0-0Mbarara City
  • Mbarara City1-0Police
  • Police3-1Mbarara City
  • Mbarara City1-0Police

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.