Where the market is wrong on 22 de Julio v Gualaceo SC
22 de Julio meet Gualaceo SC in the Liga Pro Serie B relegation group - 2.
Gualaceo SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1400. Recent form leans Gualaceo SC, 55% against 16%. Attacking output favors Gualaceo SC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.3 per match.
22 de Julio arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Santo Domingo, L 0-2 @ LDU Portoviejo, L 0-1 v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, L 0-2 @ Ind. Juniors.
Gualaceo SC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v El Nacional, W 3-0 @ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, D 0-0 v Atletico FC, L 1-2 @ San Antonio.
22 de Julio hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gualaceo SC 0-1 22 de Julio.
The market prices 22 at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
