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Liga Pro Serie B · Relegation Group - 2 · Ecuador

Santo Domingo v Cumbayá

2-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Santo Domingo v Cumbayá

Santo Domingo meet Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B relegation group - 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Santo Domingo on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.

Santo Domingo arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cumbayá, W 3-0 @ 22 de Julio, D 0-0 v Cuniburo, D 3-3 @ Cumbayá.

Cumbayá are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Santo Domingo, D 0-0 v LDU Portoviejo, L 0-3 @ Atletico FC, D 3-3 v Santo Domingo.

The market prices SAN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Santo Domingo

WDDWW7-8-5

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.65 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 30%

  • WHCumbayá2-1
  • WA22 de Julio3-0
  • DHCuniburo0-0
  • DACumbayá3-3
  • WAAtletico FC1-0

Cumbayá

DDLDL5-9-6

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 30%

  • LASanto Domingo1-2
  • DHLDU Portoviejo0-0
  • LAAtletico FC0-3
  • DHSanto Domingo3-3
  • DALDU Portoviejo0-0

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.