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Copa Uruguay · Round of 32 · Uruguay

Penarol v Atletico Torque

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Penarol v Atletico Torque: the model read

Penarol meet Atletico Torque in the Copa Uruguay round of 32.

The baseline ratings are close, 1589 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Atletico Torque on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Penarol at 54%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 68%, Atletico Torque or draw 62%.

Penarol arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Atletico Torque, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maldonado, W 2-1 v Central Espanol, W 5-1 v Wanderers.

Atletico Torque are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Penarol, W 5-1 v Wanderers, W 2-1 v Tigre, W 1-0 @ Juventud.

Penarol hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Penarol 1-0 Atletico Torque.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Penarol

WWWDW9-6-4

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 0.84 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHAtletico Torque1-0
  • DADeportivo Maldonado0-0
  • WHCentral Espanol2-1
  • WHWanderers5-1
  • WHCerro Largo3-0

Atletico Torque

WWWWL11-2-6

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LAPenarol0-1
  • WHWanderers5-1
  • WHTigre2-1
  • WAJuventud1-0
  • WATigre1-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

PenarolrecordAtletico Torque
6
2
1 draw

Goals

16-10

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

Penarol

Recent
WWWWLW
Wins 6Goals 16-10

Biggest win 3-1

Atletico Torque

Recent
LLLLWL
Wins 2Goals 10-16

Biggest win 3-1

  • Penarol1-0Atletico Torque
  • Penarol3-1Atletico Torque
  • Atletico Torque0-2Penarol
  • Penarol2-1Atletico Torque
  • Penarol1-3Atletico Torque
  • Atletico Torque2-3Penarol
  • Penarol2-0Atletico Torque
  • Penarol2-2Atletico Torque
  • Penarol0-1Atletico Torque

Managers

Diego Aguirre

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Marcelo Mendez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.